Doing something 10x as big is 100x as difficult. And the last 10% takes 50% of the work. With that in mind, Starship is right on schedule. Something will be operational by 2030.
The talent has mostly gone because the US is fiercely politically divided, and musk changing teams from democrats to republican pretty much meant his whole staff were forced to jump ship because he no longer aligned with their values.
It's what happens when Elon jumps into the k-hole and convinces himself that because he owns a company that successfully did a thing, his genius will make those companies do an even better thing. He's wrong. And he can stay wrong for years and decades even.
Starship is too big for orbital payloads, and too heavy to go beyond orbit. Yes and only if it actually achieve target payload capacity, it takes 15 refueling missions to refuel to do anything other than an orbital mission. If it doesn't achieve target payload capacity, it's cooked.
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https://www.wired.com/story/theres-a-very-simple-pattern-to-...
"We should be able to do 90 percent of space flying [autonomously] within three years.” - Elon M. probably 2026
I wonder if it's a lack of talent? Lack of investment?
https://ioc.exchange/@muskfiles
Might happen, but certainly not in his lifetime unless we discover an asteroid headed directly towards earth...
Same with most top Tesla execs since he changed political sides.
That's pretty high turnover for a company with RSU's tying people in seats
It's what happens when Elon jumps into the k-hole and convinces himself that because he owns a company that successfully did a thing, his genius will make those companies do an even better thing. He's wrong. And he can stay wrong for years and decades even.
Starship is too big for orbital payloads, and too heavy to go beyond orbit. Yes and only if it actually achieve target payload capacity, it takes 15 refueling missions to refuel to do anything other than an orbital mission. If it doesn't achieve target payload capacity, it's cooked.