AI cybersecurity is not proof of work (antirez.com)

by surprisetalk 88 comments 241 points
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[−] rakejake 29d ago

>> Test it yourself, GPT 120B OSS is cheap and available. BTW, this is why with this bug, the stronger the model you pick (but not enough to discover the true bug), the less likely it is it will claim there is a bug.

I guess this is the crux of the debate. All the claims are comparing models that are available freely with a model that is available only to limited customers (Mythos). The problem here is with the phrase "better model". Better how? Is it trained specifically on cybersecurity? Is it simply a large model with a higher token/thinking budget? Is it a better harness/scaffold? Is it simply a better prompt?

I don't doubt that some models are stronger that other models (a Gemini Pro or a Claude Opus has more parameters, higher context sizes and probably trained for longer and on more data than their smaller counterparts (Flash and Sonnet respectively).

Unless we know the exact experimental setup (which in this case is impossible because Mythos is completely closed off and not even accessible via API), all of this is hand wavy. Anthropic is definitely not going to reveal their setup because whether or not there is any secret sauce, there is more value to letting people's imaginations fly and the marketing machine work. Anthropic must be jumping with joy at all the free publicity they are getting.

[−] antirez 29d ago
In the Anthropic Mythos model cards they explicitly remarked that they didn't want Mythos to be specifically good at security. They trained it to be good at coding, and as a side effect the model is (obviously) good at security. This what happens with flesh hackers too, mostly. Hackers are very good programmers, as a side effect they understand systems well enough that their understanding has security implications.
[−] Hendrikto 29d ago
Model cards are just marketing material. I wouldn’t trust them one bit.
[−] antirez 28d ago
You don't need to trust anyone. GPT 5.4 xhigh is available and you can test it for $20, to verify it is actually able to find complex bugs in old codebases. Do the work instead of denying AI can do certain things. It's a matter of an afternoon. Or, trust the people that did this work. See my YouTube video where I find tons of Redis bugs with GPT 5.4.
[−] mbesto 28d ago
And overfitting benchmarks can easily be gamed. Yet here we are with the top HN comment on the HN Mythos thread outlining it's benchmarking performance gains.

I guess we'll never learn.

[−] Yokohiii 29d ago
The whole discussion started out as an attempt to disprove/verify anthropics (model card) claims.

He also transfers the logic of their claims to the actual real world. You can say that model cards are marketing garbage. You have to prove that experienced programmers are not significantly better at security.

[−] 2983592 29d ago
But they are treated as holy scripture ...
[−] zahlman 28d ago

> Hackers are very good programmers

This does not match my experience.

[−] rakejake 29d ago

>>> the model is (obviously) good at security

Out of curiosity, are you one of the people who has access to the model? If yes, could you write about your experimental setup in more detail?

[−] _the_inflator 27d ago
Yep. Some are while others are more or less forum leeching and exploiting known risks and use tools.

But the some that really find certain bugs are really exceptional. Almost all are very hardware prolific and do assembler stuff. This alone is an impressive feast, I still enjoy 6510 and M68000 assembler here and there as a former scener who mainly coded demos and here and there improved games (so called trainers) or cracked few.

To be honest, the assembler guys scare me always because with it you can poke a whole in almost anything. No one in his sane mind uses assembler on x86 for professional development besides few special cases. But Python etc serve many MB of executable code for the abstraction and 20 bytes just kills it…

[−] Glemllksdf 28d ago
If its really more expensive per token, it might have more parameters and is then able to hold more context/scope of code.

Rumors say it has 10 trillion parameter vs. 1 trillion.

[−] solenoid0937 29d ago
Mythos isn't restricted for marketing purposes - that would be incredibly dumb because Anthropic would be giving up first mover advantage for next gen models.

It's restricted because it's genuinely good at finding vulnerabilities, and employees felt that it's not a good idea to give this capability to everyone without letting defenders front-run.

That's it. That's all there is to it. It is not some grand marketing play.

[−] dwa3592 29d ago
Fighting over analogies is kind of pointless imo, but if you want me to indulge, here is what I will ask: Do you consider breadth first search better or depth first search better? - the good answer is it depends on the search surface. The same way bugs, vulnerabilities are hiding somewhere on the surface or inside(exploiting dependencies) the surface of the software.

In conclusion - Having a lot of tokens help! Having a better model also helps. Having both helps a lot. Having very intelligent humans + a lot of tokens + the best frontier models will help the most (emphasis on intelligent human).

[−] neutered_knot 29d ago
It is also not proof of work because of asymmetries between attacker and defender. An attacker only needs to find one exploitable issue before the defender finds it and patches it, while the defender eventually needs to find all issues - and even then can't really be sure they remediated everything.

The defender also not only has to discover issues but get them deployed. Installing patches takes time, and once the patch is available, the attacker can use it to reverse engineer the exploit and use it attack unpatched systems. This is happening in a matter of hours these days, and AI can accelerate this.

It is also entirely possible that the defender will never create patches or users will never deploy patches to systems because it is not economically viable. Things like cheap IoT sensors can have vulnerabilities that don't get addressed because there is no profit in spending the tokens to find and fix flaws. Even if they were fixed, users might not know about patches or care to take the time to deploy them because they don't see it worth their time.

Yes, there are many major systems that do have the resources to do reviews and fix problems and deploy patches. But there is an enormous installed base of code that is going to be vulnerable for a long time.

[−] alex_young 29d ago
The whole framing is kind of uninteresting imo. If you spend more time researching code you can find more bugs to exploit / patch is not an earthshaking observation.

Adding the words “by Claude” to it doesn’t materially change it. One could also pay a few humans to do the same thing. People have done that for decades.

[−] qsort 29d ago
A couple of alternative scenarios, although I'm not sure how much stock we should put in them:

- what if at a certain level of capability you're essentially bug-free? I'm somewhat skeptical that this could be the case in a strong sense, because even if you formally prove certain properties, security often crucially depends on the threat model (e.g. side channel attacks, constant-time etc,) but maybe it becomes less of a problem in practice?

- what if past a certain capability threshold weaker models can substitute for stronger ones if you're willing to burn tokens? To make an example with coding, GPT-3 couldn't code at all, so I'd rather have X tokens with say, GPT 5.4, than 100X tokens with GPT-3. But would I rather have X tokens with GPT 5.4 or 100X tokens with GPT 5.2? That's a bit murkier and I could see that you could have some kind of indifference curve.

[−] 4qwUz 29d ago
While I fully agree with the headline I find it surprising that so many people implicitly claim familiarity with the aptly named "Mythos". Mythos is closed and currently has the status of an overhyped Anduril drone that failed contact with reality in Ukraine.

If anyone has access to the mythical Mythos we'll see the contact with reality.

[−] redwood 29d ago
What seems to be getting lost in the noise on this topic is that security has always been about security in depth and mitigating controls, in other words applied paranoia. There are always threat vectors and we're seeing a change in the shape of those vectors with more rapidity than ever before which is certainly exhausting for everyone. But don't forget the fundamentals here
[−] egormakarov 29d ago

> Different LLMs executions take different branches, but eventually the possible branches based on the code possible states are saturated

With LLMs even the halting problem is just the question of paying for pro subscription!

[−] nottorp 29d ago
Seriously. We need a BuSab for IT.

This continous rush is not healthy. npm updates, replies to articles that barely made HN 12 hours ago, anything like that. It's not healthy.

Slow down.

[−] gobdovan 29d ago
Now two popular articles argue about if cybersecurity can be seen as proof of work.

Interestingly enough, I was thinking of writing an article about how cybersecurity (both access models and operational assumptions) can be modeled as a proof (NOT proof of work) system. By that I mean there is an abstract model with a set of assumptions (policies, identities, invariants, configurations and implementation constraints) from which authorization decisions are derived.

A model is secure if no unauthorized action is derivable.

A system is correct if its implementation conforms to the model's assumptions.

A security model can be analyzed operationally by how likely its assumptions are to hold in practice.

[−] niea_11 28d ago
I'm confused by the last part saying that if "weak" models (like gpt oss) find the openbsd bug they are just hallucinating. and also stronger models not finding it is because they dont hallucinate but are not strong enough.

AISLE demonstrated in the last few weeks that small (weak per the author) models can find the openBSD bug (when pointed at the code). And apparently did several runs with the same results. Was gpt oss hallucinating on all those runs?

And what separates a strong model from a weak one? Is qwen3.5 27b weak?

Don't trust who says that weak models can find the OpenBSD SACK bug. I tried it myself. What happens is that weak models hallucinate (sometimes causally hitting a real problem) that there is a lack of validation of the start of the window (which is in theory harmless because of the start < end validation) and the integer overflow problem without understanding why they, if put together, create an issue. It's just pattern matching of bug classes on code that looks may have a problem, totally lacking the true ability to understand the issue and write an exploit. Test it yourself, GPT 120B OSS is cheap and available.

BTW, this is why with this bug, the stronger the model you pick (but not enough to discover the true bug), the less likely it is it will claim there is a bug. Stronger models hallucinate less, so they can't see the problem in any side of the spectrum: the hallucination side of small models, and the real understanding side of Mythos

[−] ramoz 28d ago

> So, cyber security of tomorrow will not be like proof of work in the sense of "more GPU wins"; instead, better models, and faster access to such models, will win

tomato, tomato

[−] csmantle 29d ago

>

So, cyber security of tomorrow will not be like proof of work in the sense of "more GPU wins"; instead, better models, and faster access to such models, will win.

It's not proof of work, but proof of financial capacity.

The big companies are turning the access to high-quality token generators (through their service) into means of production. We're all going direct to Utopia, we're all going direct the other way.

[−] 4qskhaqj 28d ago
Mythos is just used to get new business contacts:

1) Create fear via the pro-American Axel Springer press (politico). Use UK/EU competition to make the EU jealous:

https://www.politico.eu/article/anthropic-hacking-technology...

2) Hype up the thing via clueless publications like the Guardian:

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/apr/17/finance-l...

"As you would expect, the engagement I have had from UK CEOs in the last week has been significant."

3) Sell the damm thing that finds 20 vulns in an NNTP over CORBA written in INTERCAL app to EU and UK companies.

None of the people involved in "dealing with the threat" have the slightest clue. UK/EU always falls for the latest US hype and CEOs pay up.

[−] kang 28d ago
The proof-of-work in ai(llm) 'can be' from the training side (not the inference side this blog explores) if a hashcash like 'proof' of model having being trained was defined. It should be possible to do so, since the very least measure of model having gotten smarter with some additional data, is that it will recognize/infer the said additional data correctly.
[−] cowartc 28d ago
Hallucination vs real finding distinction is the core problem and doesn't get solved by a better model alone. It gets solved by what you do with the output. The verification layer is what makes the system production grade.
[−] baxtr 29d ago
Interestingly enough: earlier today this discussion was trending: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47769089 (Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now)
[−] EGreg 28d ago
This just proves that we should stop using old environments and operating systems for mission-critical work, and build a completely new environment from the ground up, that's secure by default. Instead of trying to fix leaky buckets.
[−] HiramRoosevelt 24d ago
If you're looking for affordable and effective AI tools, this might be the place for you: https://account-bar.com/
[−] hoppp 27d ago
About smaller models finding bugs ... The openBSD bug cost 20k to find, maybe a weaker model would do it for a 100k if rerun many times
[−] andersmurphy 29d ago

> What happens is that weak models hallucinate (sometimes causally hitting a real problem)

So the bigger models hallucinate better causally hitting more real problems?

[−] slopinthebag 28d ago

> Don't trust who says that weak models can find the OpenBSD SACK bug. I tried it myself.

This is exactly the argument AI skeptics make btw. Also you say you tried GPT 120B OSS, that's like me proclaiming LLM coding doesn't work because I tried putting gpt 3.5 in Claude Code. Try it with GLM 5, Qwen, etc. Or improve your harness :)

[−] douglaswlance 28d ago
you get better models with more compute.

its not just PoW at inference. It's PoW of inference + training.

[−] thesuperevil 28d ago
That’s interesting
[−] jeremie_strand 29d ago
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[−] kvikuz 28d ago
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[−] riteshkew1001 28d ago
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[−] cremer 28d ago
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